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《進(jìn)口貿(mào)易對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響分析》由會(huì)員上傳分享,免費(fèi)在線閱讀,更多相關(guān)內(nèi)容在學(xué)術(shù)論文-天天文庫(kù)。
1、2018年度碩士學(xué)位論文學(xué)校代碼:10269學(xué)號(hào):2014399進(jìn)口貿(mào)易對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響分析院系:經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)部經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院類(lèi)別:經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)碩士7888777777領(lǐng)域:國(guó)際貿(mào)易77指導(dǎo)教師:楊來(lái)科教授7申請(qǐng)人:徐海靜72018年9月完成2018Master’sDegreeThesisUniversityCode:10269StudentID:2014399EastChinaNormalUniversityAnalysisoftheeffectsoftheimporttradeonChina’sec
2、onomicgrowthDepartment:SchoolofEconomicsandManagementType:MasterofEconomyDomain:InternationalTrade7Supervisor:ProfessorLaikeYang7Applicant:HaijingXu72018.9徐海靜碩士學(xué)位論文答辯委員會(huì)成員名單姓名職稱(chēng)單位備注祝波副教授上海大學(xué)主席吳信如教授華東師范大學(xué)張皞副教授華東師范大學(xué)范學(xué)俊副教授華東師范大學(xué)冉生欣副教授華東師范大學(xué)摘要改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),中國(guó)的
3、對(duì)外貿(mào)易增長(zhǎng)迅速,已經(jīng)從一個(gè)較為封閉的經(jīng)濟(jì)體成長(zhǎng)為世界貨物貿(mào)易第一大國(guó)。但是,由于中國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易政策長(zhǎng)期偏重于出口貿(mào)易,對(duì)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易的關(guān)注度不夠,導(dǎo)致中國(guó)長(zhǎng)期存在進(jìn)出口的不平衡。這也使得中國(guó)飽受來(lái)自于發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的對(duì)外貿(mào)易摩擦與沖突。事實(shí)上,進(jìn)口貿(mào)易對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)和影響也不容忽視。進(jìn)口貿(mào)易通過(guò)生產(chǎn)要素和全要素生產(chǎn)率兩種介質(zhì)來(lái)促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。進(jìn)口可以增加國(guó)內(nèi)的生產(chǎn)供給,同時(shí)通過(guò)中間品的技術(shù)擴(kuò)散提高全要素生產(chǎn)率。所以,在當(dāng)前國(guó)際貿(mào)易保護(hù)重新抬頭、中國(guó)面臨更多貿(mào)易摩擦的背景下,研究進(jìn)口貿(mào)易對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要性更
4、具重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)意義。本文將首先從進(jìn)口貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的一般理論進(jìn)行闡述,理論上說(shuō)明進(jìn)口貿(mào)易對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的促進(jìn)作用。接下來(lái),將從進(jìn)口貿(mào)易促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用機(jī)制入手,說(shuō)明進(jìn)口貿(mào)易是如何促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的。然后從進(jìn)口貿(mào)易總量、進(jìn)口貿(mào)易彈性、進(jìn)口貿(mào)易依存度、進(jìn)口貿(mào)易貢獻(xiàn)率、進(jìn)口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)等方面對(duì)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行概述。在實(shí)證分析中,本文將運(yùn)用相關(guān)性分析、單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、誤差修正、格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)和面板數(shù)據(jù)等統(tǒng)計(jì)分析方法,分析進(jìn)口商品結(jié)構(gòu)和進(jìn)口貿(mào)易地區(qū)分布對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用。最后,根據(jù)實(shí)證分析的結(jié)果和我國(guó)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易
5、的實(shí)際情況,探討進(jìn)口貿(mào)易發(fā)展中存在的問(wèn)題及有效的對(duì)策。關(guān)鍵詞:進(jìn)口貿(mào)易,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),協(xié)整檢驗(yàn),面板數(shù)據(jù)分析IAbstractSincetheReformandOpen-up,foreigntradeinChinahasincreasedrapidly.Chinahasgrownupintothebiggestcountryofthegoodstradeintheworldfromarelativelyclosedeconomy.However,becausetheChineseforeigntra
6、depolicyhasbeenbiasingtheexportforalongtime,sparinglessattentionintheimport,theimbalanceoftheimportandexporthashappenedinthelongrun.Justforthiscase,Chinahasbeenenduringtheforeigntradefrictionandconflictsfromthedevelopedcountries.Asamatteroffact,theco
7、ntributionandtheinfluencetheimporthasmadefortheeconomyincreaseshouldnotbeneglected.TheimportcouldboosttheeconomyincreaseviatheproductionfactorsandTFP.ImportwouldincreasethedomesticproductionsupplyandimprovetheTFPviathetechnologyemissionoftheintermedi
8、ategoods.SothestudyoftheimportanceoftheimporttoeconomyincreasemakesmuchsenseeconomicallyasnowadaystheinternationaltradingprotectionpopsupagainandChinawillsurelyfacemoretradingfriction.Firstly,thispaperwilllistthetheoryfortheimportandexportgrowthgener