電力系統(tǒng)負荷預測及方法(外文翻譯)

電力系統(tǒng)負荷預測及方法(外文翻譯)

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時間:2018-10-13

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1、PowersystemloadforecastingmethodsandcharacteristicsofAbstract:Theloadforecastinginpowersystemplanningandoperationplayanimportantrole,withobviouseconomicbenefits,inessence,theelectricityloadforecastingmarketdemandforecast.Inthispaper,asystematicdescri

2、ptionandanalysisofavarietyofloadforecastingmethodsandcharacteristicsandthatgoodloadforecastingforpowersystemhasbecomeanimportantmeansofmodernmanagement.Keywords:powersystemloadforecastingelectricitymarketconstructionPlanning1.IntroductionLoadforecast

3、ingdemandforelectricityfromaknownstartingtoconsiderthepolitical,economic,climateandotherrelatedfactors,thefuturedemandforelectricitytomakepredictions.Loadforecastincludestwoaspects:onthefuturedemand(power)projectionsandfutureelectricityconsumption(en

4、ergy)forecast.Electricitydemandprojectionsdecisiongeneration,transmissionanddistributionsystem,thesicofnewCapacity;powergeneratingequipmentdeterminethetypeofprediction(.suchaspeakingunits,baseloadunits,etc}.Loadforecastingpurposesistoprovideloadcondi

5、tionsandthelevelofdevelopment,whileidentifyingthevarioussupplyareas,eachyearplanningforthepowerconsumptionformaximumpowerloadandtheloadofplanningtheoveralllevelofdevelopmentofeachplanyeartodeterminetheloadcomposition.2.loadforecastingmethodsandcharac

6、teristicsof2.1UnitConsumptionActOutputofproductsinaccordancewithnationalarrangements,planningandelectricityintensityvaluetodetermineelectricitydemand.Sub-UnitConsumptionAct;ProductUnitConsumption;andthevalueofUnitConsumptionAct;two.Theprojectionofloa

7、dbeforethekeyistodeterminetheappropriatevalueoftheproductunitconsumptionorunitconsumption.JudgingfromChina’sactualsituation,thegeneralruleistheproductunitconsumptionincreasedyearbyyear,theoutputvalueunitconsumptionisdeclining.Unitconsumptionmethodadv

8、antagesarc:Themethodissimple,short-tornloadforecastingeffective.Disadvantagesarc:needtodoalotofpainstakingresearchwork,moregeneral,itisdifficulttoreflectmoderneconomic,politicalandclimateconditions.2.2TrendextrapolationWhenthepowerloadinaccordancewit

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