Moneyball The Art of Winning an Unfair Game

Moneyball The Art of Winning an Unfair Game

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時間:2019-07-11

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1、Moneyball:TheArtofWinninganUnfairGameMichaelLewisForBillyFitzgeraldIcanstillhearhimshoutingatmeLatelyinawreckofaCalifornianship,oneofthepassengersfastenedabeltabouthimwithtwohundredpoundsofgoldinit,withwhichhewasfoundafterwardsatthebottom.Now,ashewassinking-hadhethegold?orthegoldhim?—JohnRusk

2、in,UntoThisLastPrefaceIwrotethisbookbecauseIfellinlovewithastory.Thestoryconcernedasmallgroupofundervaluedprofessionalbaseballplayersandexecutives,manyofwhomhadbeenrejectedasunfitforthebigleagues,whohadturnedthemselvesintooneofthemostsuccessfulfranchisesinMajorLeagueBaseball.Buttheideafortheb

3、ookcamewellbeforeIhadgoodreasontowriteit—beforeIhadastorytofallinlovewith.Itbegan,really,withaninnocentquestion:howdidoneofthepoorestteamsinbaseball,theOaklandAthletics,winsomanygames?Formorethanadecadethepeoplewhorunprofessionalbaseballhavearguedthatthegamewasceasingtobeanathleticcompetition

4、andbecomingafinancialone.Thegapbetweenrichandpoorinbaseballwasfargreaterthaninanyotherprofessionalsport,andwideningrapidly.Attheopeningofthe2002season,therichestteam,theNewYorkYankees,hadapayrollof$126millionwhilethetwopoorestteams,theOaklandA'sandtheTampaBayDevilRays,hadpayrollsoflessthanath

5、irdofthat,about$40million.Adecadebefore,thehighestpayrollteam,theNewYorkMets,hadspentabout$44milliononbaseballplayersandthelowestpayrollteam,theClevelandIndians,abitmorethan$8million.Therawdisparitiesmeantthatonlytherichteamscouldaffordthebestplayers.Apoorteamcouldaffordonlythemaimedandtheine

6、pt,andwasalmostcertaintofail.Orsoarguedthepeoplewhoranbaseball.AndIwasinclinedtoconcedethepoint.Thepeoplewiththemostmoneyoftenwin.Butwhenyoulookedatwhatactuallyhadhappenedoverthepastfewyears,youhadtowonder.Thebottomofeachdivisionwaslitteredwithteams—theRangers,theOrioles,theDodgers,theMets—th

7、athadspenthugesumsandfailedspectacularly.OntheotherendofthespectrumwasOakland.Forthepastseveralyears,workingwitheitherthelowestornexttolowestpayrollinthegame,theOaklandA'shadwonmoreregularseasongamesthananyotherteam,excepttheAtlantaBraves.The

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