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1、2014年第1期總第135期文章編號：1003．2398(2014)01．0134．07中國入境旅游發(fā)展的時空差異演變分析1991—2O1O王凱，易靜’，李皓’(1．湖南師范大學(xué)旅游學(xué)院，長沙410081；2．中國科學(xué)院地理科學(xué)與資源研究所，北京100101)ANANALYSISOFTHESP10．TEM【PORALDISPAITIESOFINBOINDTOUISMDEⅦLOPMENTINCHINA：1991—-2010WANGKai，YIJing，LIHaof1．Toul'iSITICollegeofHunanNormMUniversity,Changsha
2、410081,China；2．InsdtuteofGeographicSciencesandNatuz~JResourcesResearch,CAS,BeijTng10010I,Cm'na)Abstract：Tourismispotentiallyconsideredasavehicleforreducinginequalitiesinregionaldevelopmentthroughthespreadofresourcesfromthemoredevelopedregionsofacountrytoitslessdevelopedareas．Basedon
3、thetheoriesofunbalancedregionaleconomicgrowthandthemethodsofeconometrics，thisPaperexploresthespatio．temporaltrendstructureofinboundtourismdevelopmentlevelin31provincesofChinafrom1991tO2010．Concretelyspeaking．thetime—sequencedcharacteristicsofinter-provincialdifferenceswereinvestigat
4、edwiththestandarddeviationandTheilcoefficientvalueofacompositeindexconsistingofindustrialscaleindexandqualityindexfromabsoluteandrelativeperspectives；theevolutionofspatialframeworkoninboundtourisminthepast20yearswasexpoundedbyusingthedeviationandratioresults．Theresultsshowthatabsolu
5、teandrelativedisparitiesinprovincia1．1evelofChina’Sinboundtourismtendstoreduceinthe1990’s：Relativedisparitieshasbeengraduallyreducedwhileabsolutediferencehasbeensomewhatenlargedfrom2001to2010；Regionaldisparityofinboundtourismdevelopmentlevelinourcountrypresentsanon—polarizedandunbal
6、anceddevelopmenttendencyasawhole，i．e．seriouspolarizationliesbetweensomewesternandcoastalprovinces；Newsecondarytourismeconomicgrowthcenterssuchastheprovincesinsouthwestern，northeasternandcentralChinaemergedinrecentyears；Gradientdifferencesarestillexistinginthedevelopmentlevelofinboun
7、dtourismin3economiczonesofChina．Finally,apara．digmframeworkforachievingacoordinatedregionaltourismdevelopmentinChinaisalsoproposed．Keywords：regionaltourismdisparity；trendofspatio—temporalchange；inboundtourism；China提要：以區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)非均衡增長理論為基礎(chǔ)，采經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的梯度差異明顯。基于上述結(jié)論，提出用計量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的方法，對1991-2010年中國入境旅
8、游調(diào)控區(qū)域差異、實現(xiàn)區(qū)域旅游經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)籌協(xié)
