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1、西安理工大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文andsevensituationsofthewaterresourcesallocation．(4)Accordingtothenodemapandwaterresourcesallocationprinciple，weestablishthewaterresourcesrationalallocationmodelofTarimriverbasinandusesimulationoptimizationman—machineconversationalgorithmtOs
2、olvethemodel．(5)Scenel,currentsituationin2010，agriculturalandecologicalwatersupplyarefarlessthanthedesignrequirements；Scene4，2020istheplanninglevelyearofrecommendedscene．Byadjustmentcalculation．a(chǎn)griculturalwatersupplyreliabilitywillreach75．5％，basically
3、meetingthedesignrequirements．theriverecologicalassuranceis51．8％，DaXiHaiZitheaverageecologicalreleasewateris350millionm3，guarantyis50．1％，DaXiHaiZiecological≈vaterSuppl：(’i‘n’totalaveragealthoughmeetsthedesignvalue，reliabilityis50％designreliabilityrequir
4、ements，butitsdryyearcontinuousforfiveyearsandecologicalguaranteeisstillunsatisfactory；Scene7，2030isplanninglevelyearofrecommendedscene．Byadjustmentcalculation，agriculturalwatersupplyreliabilitywillreach79％，meetingthedesignrequirements，theriverecologica
5、lassuranceis57％，meetingthedesignrequirements，DaXiHaiZitheaverageecologicalreleasewateris350millionm3．guarantyis51％．DaXiHaiZiecologicalwatersupplynotonlyinthetotalaveragemeetsthedesignvalue，butalsoreliabilityreaches50％designreliabilityrequirements，theco
6、ntinuousdryyearssignificantlyreduces，agricultureandecologicalwaterreachesthedesigntarget，anditimprovesecologicalenvironmentofTarimriver．Keywords：Tarimriver；Mortetwaveletanalysis；Therationalallocationofwaterresources；Adaptiveiterativemethods；Simulationo
7、ptimizationman—machineconversationalgorithmsIV目錄目錄1§者論???????????????????????????????????????????．11．1研究背景????????????????????????????．．11．2研究目的意義??????????????????????????．．11．3研究進(jìn)展????????????????????????????．．2．1．3．1流域水資源配置研究進(jìn)展???????????????????21．
8、3．2塔里木河流域水資源配置研究進(jìn)展???????????????31．4塔河流域現(xiàn)行水量分配政策實(shí)施效果評(píng)價(jià)??????????????．．51．4．1塔河現(xiàn)行水量分配政策????????????????????51．4．2塔河現(xiàn)行水量分配政策實(shí)施效果????????????????61．5研究?jī)?nèi)容????????????????????????????．．71．6技術(shù)路線????????????????????????????．．81．7本章小結(jié)?????????
