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1、Theworldchangewithreallyremarkable（卓越的）speed.Ifyoulookatthechartatthetophere,you'llseethatin2025,theseGoldmanSachsprojectionssuggestthattheChineseeconomywillbealmostthesamesizeastheAmericaneconomy.Andyoulookatthechartfor2050,it'sprojected（投射的）thattheChi
2、neseeconomywillbetwicethesizeoftheAmericaneconomy,andtheIndianeconomywillbealmostthesamesizeastheAmericaneconomy.AndweshouldbearinmindherethattheseprojectionweredrawnupbeforetheWesternfinancialcrisis.Acoupleofweeksago,IwaslookingatthelatestprojectionbyB
3、NPParibasforwhenChinawillhavealargereconomythantheUnitedStates.GoldmanSachsprojected2027.Thepost-crisisprojectionis2020.That'sjustadecadeaway.Chinaisgoingtochangetheworldintwofundamental（基本的）respects.Firstofall,it'sahugedevelopingcountrywiththepopulatio
4、nof1.3billionpeople,whichhasbeengrowingforover30yearsataround10percentayear.Andwithinadecade,itwillhavethelargesteconomyintheworld.Neverbeforeinthemodernerahasthelargesteconomyintheworldbeenthatofadevelopingcountry,ratherthanadevelopedcountry.Secondly,f
5、orthefirsttimeinthemodernera,thedominant（占優(yōu)勢(shì)的；統(tǒng)治的）countryintheworld--whichIthinkiswhatChinawillbecomewillbacknotfromtheWestandfromvery,verydifferentcivilizationalroots（根；根源）.NowIknowit'sawidespreadassumptionintheWestthat,ascountriesmodernize（使...現(xiàn)代化）,th
6、eyalsoWesternize（使西洋化）.Thisisaillusion（幻覺；錯(cuò)覺；錯(cuò)誤的觀點(diǎn)）.It'sanassumptionthatmodernity（現(xiàn)代性；現(xiàn)代的東西）isaproductsimplyofcompetition,marketsandtechnology.Itisnot;itisalsoshapedequallybyhistoryandculture.ChinaisnotliketheWest,anditwillnotbecomeliketheWest.Itwillrem
7、aininveryfundamentalrespectsverydifferent.Nowbigquestionhereisobviously,howdowemakesenseofChina?HowdowetrytounderstandwhatChinais?AndtheproblemwehaveintheWestatthemomentby-and-large（大體上；總的來說）isthattheconventional（傳統(tǒng)的）approachisthatweunderstanditreallyin
8、Westernterms,usingWesternideas.Wecan't.NowIwanttoofferyouthreebuildingblocksfortryingtounderstandwhatChinaislike--justasabeginnning.Thefirstisthis,thatChinaisnotreallyanationstate.Okay,it'scalleditselfanationstateforthelasthundre
