了解中國的崛起演講稿.doc

了解中國的崛起演講稿.doc

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1、了解中國的崛起演講稿        了解中國的崛起演講稿        了解中國的崛起演講稿        了解中國的崛起演講稿      Theworldischangingwithreallyremarkablespeed.Ifyoulookatthechartatthetophere,you'llseethatin2025,theseGoldmanSachsprojectionssuggestthattheChineseeconomywillbealmostthesamesizeastheAmericaneconomy.Andifyoulookatthechartfor205

2、0,it'sprojectedthattheChineseeconomywillbetwicethesizeoftheAmericaneconomy,andtheIndianeconomywillbealmostthesamesizeastheAmericaneconomy.AndweshouldbearinmindherethattheseprojectionsweredrawnupbeforetheWesternfinancialcrisis.Acoupleofweeksago,IwaslookingatthelatestprojectionbyBNPParibasforwhe

3、nChinawillhavealargereconomythantheUnitedStates.GoldmanSachsprojected2027.Thepost-crisisprojectionis2020.That'sjustadecadeaway.Chinaisgoingtochangetheworldintwofundamentalrespects.Firstofall,it'sahugedevelopingcountrywithapopulationof1.3billionpeople,whichhasbeengrowingforover30yearsataround10

4、percentayear.Andwithinadecade,itwillhavethelargesteconomyintheworld.Neverbeforeinthemodernerahasthelargesteconomyintheworldbeenthatofadevelopingcountry,ratherthanadevelopedcountry.Secondly,forthefirsttimeinthemodernera,thedominantcountryintheworld--whichIthinkiswhatChinawillbecome--willbenotfr

5、omtheWestandfromvery,verydifferentcivilizationalroots.NowIknowit'sawidespreadassumptionintheWestthat,ascountriesmodernize,theyalsoWesternize.Thisisanillusion.It'sanassumptionthatmodernityisaproductsimplyofcompetition,marketsandtechnology.Itisnot;itisalsoshapedequallybyhistoryandculture.Chinais

6、notliketheWest,anditwillnotbecomeliketheWest.Itwillremaininveryfundamentalrespectsverydifferent.Nowthebigquestionhereisobviously,howdowemakesenseofChina?HowdowetrytounderstandwhatChinais?AndtheproblemwehaveintheWestatthemomentby-and-largeisthattheconventionalapproachisthatweunderstanditreallyi

7、nWesternterms,usingWesternideas.Wecan't.NowIwanttoofferyouthreebuildingblocksfortryingtounderstandwhatChinaislike--justasabeginning.Nowwhatisextraordinaryaboutthisis,whatgivesChinait'ssenseofbeingChina,whatgivestheChinesethesenseofwhati

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