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1、第23卷第4期運籌與管理Vol.23,No.42014年8月OPERATIONSRESEARCHANDMANAGEMENTSCIENCEAug.2014基于混沌理論的創(chuàng)新網(wǎng)絡(luò)中組織間信任演化研究韓亞品,胡瓏瑛(哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)管理學(xué)院,黑龍江哈爾濱150001)摘要:以往關(guān)于信任的研究是在穩(wěn)定均衡的假設(shè)下進行的,然而信任演化過程中會表現(xiàn)出非線性的混沌狀態(tài),具有復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)的特征?;谘莼┺睦碚摵突煦缋碚?,建立了創(chuàng)新網(wǎng)絡(luò)中組織間信任演化模型,分析了創(chuàng)新網(wǎng)絡(luò)中組織間信任的復(fù)雜性、初值敏感性、分岔行為及內(nèi)隨機性等混沌特性,推導(dǎo)出信任演化方程與Logistic映射之間的關(guān)系,采用Lyapunov穩(wěn)定性理
2、論進行混沌性判定,證明創(chuàng)新網(wǎng)絡(luò)中組織間信任通過倍周期分岔通往混沌,得到了信任從有序進入混沌的一般條件,運用算例進行仿真展示信任演化通往混沌的過程,分析創(chuàng)新網(wǎng)絡(luò)中信任演化進入混沌區(qū)的實際意義,并選擇硅谷和筑波科技城兩個實例做對比分析,驗證了該研究的實用性和有效性。創(chuàng)新網(wǎng)絡(luò)中組織間信任的混沌演化反映出信任發(fā)展的非線性特點,為創(chuàng)新網(wǎng)絡(luò)中組織間信任的混沌利用和控制提供理論指導(dǎo)。關(guān)鍵詞:技術(shù)創(chuàng)新;信任演化;混沌理論;創(chuàng)新網(wǎng)絡(luò)中圖分類號:F270文章標識碼:A文章編號:1007-3221(2014)04-0219-09Inter-OrganizationalTrustEvolutioninInnovat
3、ionNetworksBasedonChaosTheoryHANYa-pin,HULong-ying(SchoolofManagement,HarbinInstituteTechnology,Harbin150001,China)Abstract:Previousresearchontrusthasbeencarriedoutundertheassumptionofstableequilibrium.Actuallythenonlinearchaoticstateappearsintheprocessoftrustevolutionininnovationnetworks.Andinter-
4、organiza-tionaltrustevolutionininnovationnetworksevolveswiththecharacteristicsofcomplexsystems.Chaoshasanex-tremelysensitivedependenceoninitialconditions.Nomatterhowsmallthedeviationofthegiveninitialcondi-tionsis,theresultatsomepointinthecancouldbeverydifferentfromtheactualsituation.Chaoticcharacte
5、ris-ticsofinter-organizationaltrustininnovationnetworksareanalyzedbasedonchaostheory,suchascomplexity,sensitivitytoinitialvalue,bifurcationbehaviorandinnerrandomness.Thedifferentialequationsofinter-organi-zationaltrustevolutionininnovationnetworksareestablishedbasedonevolutionarygametheory.Therelat
6、ionshipbetweentrustevolutionequationandthelogisticmappingisdeduced.TrustchaosisdeterminedbytheLyapunovstabilitytheory.Inter-organizationaltrustininnovationnetworksleadstochaosthroughtheperiod-doublingbifurcation.Thegeneralconditionsinwhichtrustcomestochaosinsteadofbeingingoodorderaregot-ten.Thepath
7、throughwhichtrustevolutionleadstochaoshasbeendemonstratedbythesimulationwithanumer-icalexample.Thepracticalsignificanceoftrustevolutionchaosintheinnovationnetworkisanalyzed.Thefeasi-bilityandeffectivenessof