中國(guó)與中亞五國(guó)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易成本研究.pdf

中國(guó)與中亞五國(guó)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易成本研究.pdf

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時(shí)間:2020-03-04

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1、TheResearchonTradeCostofAgriculturalProductsbetweenChinaandtheFiveCentralAsianCountriesAbstractInordertostudythelevel,changingtrendandinfluencefactorsofagriculturaltradecostbetweenChinaandthefivecentralAsiancountries,weusetheNovy’stradecostmodeltomeasurethetradecostofagriculturalbe

2、tweenChinaandthefivecentralAsiancountriesfrom1993to2012indetail.Andthenwedocomparativeanalysisfromdifferentangles.ResultsshowthattradecostofagriculturalbetweenChinaandthefivecentralAsiancountriesshowsthedownwardtrendofvolatility,whilethedroprateislessthanotherproducts’.Seeingfromth

3、eperspectiveoftimedynamic,thechangingoftradecostofagriculturalproductsbetweenChinaandthefivecentralAsiancountriescanbedividedintofourstages:dropstage(1993-1995),volatilityrisingstage(1996-2002),volatilitydecliningstage(2003-2005),steadystage(2006-2012).Fromtheperspectiveoftheabsolu

4、tevalueofthebilateraltradecost,theaveragetradecostofagriculturalproductsbetweenChinaandKazakhstanisthelowest.Lookingfromthedeclinerangeofbilateraltradecostsofagriculturalproducts,thebiggestdroprangewithChinaamongfivecountriesbelongstoUzbekistan.Byanalyzingnaturalfactors,tradepolicy

5、,infrastructureandservice,wefoundthat,thoughsuperiorityofnaturalcondition(thegeographicalfactorsmainly)ontradepromotingeffectstillexists,thetradepolicy,infrastructureandservices,especiallythedevelopmentofexportfinancingservicescangreatlyweakentheadverseimpactofnaturalfactorsontrade

6、.Forexample,theimprovementofthelogisticsenvironmentandthedevelopmentofprocessingindustryofagriculturalproductextendthefreshnessofagriculturalproducts,whichisequaltoshortenthegeographicdistancebetweensuppliersanddemanderstosomedegree.Thetradepolicyofnon-tariffmeasureshasreplacedthet

7、ariffbarriersbecometheimportantobstaclesaffectingagriculturaltradecostreduction.Inthepastfewdecades,thetariffintheworldscopeisreducedgreatly.AndlowertariffsmadeanimportantcontributiontoreducethetradecostofagriculturalbetweenChinaandthefivecentralAsiancountries.Butwealsofoundthataft

8、erthetariffbarriersweakene

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