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1、第40卷第3期煤田地質(zhì)與勘探V_0lJ40NO.32012年6月COALGEO10GY&E卿0Rr0NJan.2O12文章編號(hào):1001.1986(2012)03—0040—04基于matlab的煤層底板突水預(yù)測系統(tǒng)翟培合,肖艷麗,施龍青,肖林通,李明星,于相青(1.山東省沉積成礦作用與沉積礦產(chǎn)重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室,山東科技大學(xué)地質(zhì)科學(xué)與工程學(xué)院,山東青島266590;2.中國石化勝利石油管理局鉆井工程技術(shù)公司泥漿公司,山東東營257064)摘要:針對(duì)當(dāng)前煤層底板突水預(yù)測存在的問題,在突水概率指數(shù)法預(yù)測預(yù)報(bào)系統(tǒng)的基礎(chǔ)上,用matlab開發(fā)出了一套新型煤層底板突水預(yù)測系統(tǒng)軟件。通過對(duì)地質(zhì)、水文地質(zhì)等信息數(shù)
2、據(jù)進(jìn)行分析處理,從而確定導(dǎo)致煤層底板突水的主控因素及次級(jí)影響因素,并分別賦予其相應(yīng)的權(quán)重值,將各因素在底板突水中所起的作用定量化。特別是對(duì)于不同礦區(qū)不同控制因素的影響,其相應(yīng)權(quán)重值的大小可以靈活改變。建立賦權(quán)求和數(shù)學(xué)模型,繪制出各個(gè)主要控制因素的專題圖,并根據(jù)各個(gè)主要控制因素的不同權(quán)重值,疊合繪制出底板突水概率指數(shù)法突水分區(qū)圖。同時(shí)計(jì)算出煤層底板突水概率指數(shù)。將系統(tǒng)軟件應(yīng)用于工程實(shí)際,預(yù)測效果與實(shí)際情況相吻合。關(guān)鍵詞:matlab;底板突水預(yù)測系統(tǒng);突水概率指數(shù)法;權(quán)重;軟件中圖分類號(hào):TD745文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識(shí)碼:ADOI:10.3969~.issn.1001.1986.2012.03.010For
3、ecastsystembasedonmatlabforwaterinrushfromseamfloorZHAIPeihe,XIAOYanli,SHILongqing,XIAOLintongzLIMingxing,YUXiangqing,(1.ShandongProvincialKeyLaboratoryofDepositionalMineralization&SedimentaryMinerals,CollegeofGeologicalSciences&Engineering,ShandongUniversityofScienceandTechnology,Qingdao266590,Chin
4、a;2.DepartmentofDrillingFluidServiceofDrillingEngineeringService,SinopecShengliOilfieldCompany,Dongying257064,China)Abstract:ThesafeminingofcoalresourcesinChinahasbeenseriouslyafectedbywaterinrushfromseamfloor.Inordertosolvetheprobleminforecastingwaterinrushfromcoalseamfloor,inthepaperanewsoftwaresy
5、stemforecastingofwaterinrushfromseamfloorisdevelopedinMATLABonthebasisoftheforecastsystemofwaterinrushprobabilityindexes.Bymeansofanalyzingandprocessinglotsofdatasuchasgeology,hydrogeologyandSOon,majorcontrollingfactorsandsecondaryfactorsleadingtowaterinrushfromcoalseamflooraredeterminedandthentheco
6、rrespondingweightsaregiventomakethefactorsofwaterinrushquantified,andeveryweightcanchangeflexiblyindiferentmineareasanddifferentcontrollingfactors.Thematicmapofeachmajorfactorisdrawnandempowermentsummationmathematicalmodelisestablished.Accordingtothedifferentweightsofthemajorfactors,thewaterinrushsu
7、bareachartofprobabilityindexisdrawnandtheprobabilityindexesofwaterin-rusharecalculated.Afterthesystembeingappliedinengineeringpractice,itprovesthatthepredictedresultisconsistentwiththeactualsituation.