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1、AbstractAftermorethantenyearsofdevelopment,thereisaseriesofbreakthroughinChina'sfixturesmarket.Marketstandardizationdegreeandtheinnerrunningmechanismarerising,themarketfunctionalsograduallyplayanimportantrole,andtheypromotethesteadydevelopmentofChineseeconomy.Agr
2、iculturalproductsfuturesastheoneofthefuturesmarket,notonlyhasthegeneralmerchandiseproperty,atthesametimealsohasitsownspecialproperties.Thefuturesmarketplaysaveryimportantroleintheworldmarketsofagriculturalproductsforproduction,circulationandconsumption.Soybeanast
3、hefirstlistedvarietiesinChina'sagriculturalproductfuturesmarket,hasapivotalroleforsoybeanmealandsoybeanoilfiituresmarket,therefore,researchandanalysistheinfluencefactorsofsoybeanfuturespricesisimportant.Thispaperonthequalitativeanalysistheinfluencingfactorsofsoyb
4、eanfuturesprices,startingfromthefundamentalsofacomprehensiveanalysisofvariousinfluencefactorsofsoybeanfuturespricesofpositiveornegativeimpact.Specificanalysishowthevariousinfluencefactorsofsoybeanfuturesprices,andseparatelytoeachinfluencefactorsareanalyzedandther
5、esearch.Summaryitisconcludedthatthefourmajorfactorsinfluencingthesoybeanfuturesprices:themacrofactor,supplyanddemandfactor,marketfactorandotherfactors.Thensubdividedfromthefouraspectsarediscussedanumberofspecificfactors.Byanalyzingthegeneralsituationofsoybeanmark
6、etbothChinaandothercountriescanbefoundthatsoybeanimbalancebetweensupplyanddemandmoreseriousinourcountry,whichdependsonforeignsoybean(suchasU.S.soybeans，，，factorsarerespectivelypriceindicesofmeansofagriculturalproduction,USDCNYexchangerate,internationalcrudeoilpri
7、ces，，目錄職研究背景研究內(nèi)容研宄意義研宄方法第二章文獻(xiàn)綜述期貨價(jià)格理論基礎(chǔ)基差理論理性預(yù)期價(jià)格理論均衡價(jià)格理論持有成本理論國內(nèi)外大豆期貨價(jià)格影響研宄現(xiàn)狀大豆期貨價(jià)格影響因素大豆期貨與現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格關(guān)系國際大豆期貨價(jià)格與我國大豆期貨價(jià)格關(guān)系研宄第三章國內(nèi)外大豆市場分析我國大豆期貨市場分析我國大豆市場分析我國大豆期貨交易我國大豆供求分析國際大豆期貨市場分析！國際大豆市場分析國際大豆期貨交易國際大豆供求分析第四章大豆期貨價(jià)格影響因素分析宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)因素我國國家政策4.1.2市場供求報(bào)告美元匯率國際原油價(jià)格大豆供求關(guān)系大豆生產(chǎn)分析大豆
8、消費(fèi)分析大豆庫存分析大豆進(jìn)出口分析大豆市場因素大豆現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格大豆生產(chǎn)成本衍生品的價(jià)格支撐其他替代品比價(jià)其他因素天氣、季節(jié)因素種植面積心理因素大豆生物用途開發(fā)第五章我國大豆期貨價(jià)格影響因素實(shí)證研宄數(shù)據(jù)獲取變量的選擇和處理數(shù)據(jù)來源數(shù)據(jù)分析工具和方法大豆期貨價(jià)格的主成分分析數(shù)據(jù)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化與矩陣構(gòu)造主成分分析法處理過程及結(jié)果第六章
