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1、目錄1、本周市場(chǎng)回顧(2021/3/15-2021/3/19).-3-2、基于長(zhǎng)期和中期相結(jié)合的A股擇時(shí)..................................................................-4-2.1、最新市場(chǎng)擇時(shí)觀點(diǎn).......................................................................................-4-2.2、長(zhǎng)期擇時(shí)模型觀點(diǎn)................................................
2、.......................................-4-2.3、中期擇時(shí)模型觀點(diǎn).......................................................................................-5-2.4、不同期限擇時(shí)信號(hào)的結(jié)合...........................................................................-7-2.5、歷史表現(xiàn)......................................
3、.................................................................-8-3、大小盤輪動(dòng)..........................................................................................................-9-3.1、短期預(yù)判...........................................................................................
4、............-9-3.2、歷史表現(xiàn).....................................................................................................-10-4、利率債量化擇時(shí)................................................................................................-11-4.1、最新?lián)駮r(shí)觀點(diǎn)....................................
5、.........................................................-11-4.2、歷史表現(xiàn).....................................................................................................-12-圖表1、重要寬基指數(shù)本周表現(xiàn).............................................................................-3-圖表2、中信風(fēng)格指數(shù)本周表現(xiàn).
6、............................................................................-3-圖表3、A股長(zhǎng)期和中期擇時(shí)信號(hào)的結(jié)合方式......................................................-4-圖表4、中證紅利股息率計(jì)算的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)溢價(jià).............................................................-5-圖表5、部分利率指標(biāo)近期走勢(shì)...............................
7、..............................................-6-圖表6、近月來(lái)美元兌人民幣匯率與A股走勢(shì)呈現(xiàn)顯著負(fù)相關(guān)性.....................-7-圖表7、A股中期擇時(shí)模型各因子觀點(diǎn)..................................................................-7-圖表8、A股擇時(shí)模型的對(duì)數(shù)凈值(2003/1/10-2021/3/19)................................-8-圖表9、A股擇時(shí)模型表現(xiàn)(2003/1/10-20
8、21/3/19)...........