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1、MunichChainLadder:AReservingMethodthatReducestheGapbetweenIBNRProjectionsBasedonPaidLossesandIBNRProjectionsBasedonIncurredLossesbyGerhardQuargandThomasMackREPRINTACKNOWLEDGMENT“MunichChainLadder”byDr.QuargandDr.MackisbeingreprintedinVariancetogivethisimporta
2、ntpaperwidervisibilitywithintheactuarialcommunity.Theedi-torsofVarianceinvitedtheauthorstosubmittheirpaperforrepublicationbecausewebelievethatthetechniquesdescribedintheirworkshouldbeknowntoallactuariesdoingreserveanalysis.Wealsohopetostimulatefurtherresearch
3、inthisarea.ThispaperisreprintedfromBl?tterderDeutschenGesellschaftfürVersicherungs-undFinanz-mathematik,volume26,number4,2004,pages597—630.WethanktheeditorsofthatjournalandtheauthorsforallowingVariancetopublishthepaper.KEYWORDSReservingmethods,chainladder,los
4、sdevelopment,reconciliationofpaidandincurredprojections266CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETYVOLUME2/ISSUE2MunichChainLadderVOLUME2/ISSUE2CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETY267VarianceAdvancingtheScienceofRisk268CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETYVOLUME2/ISSUE2MunichChainLadderVOLUME2/ISSUE2
5、CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETY269VarianceAdvancingtheScienceofRisk270CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETYVOLUME2/ISSUE2MunichChainLadderVOLUME2/ISSUE2CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETY271VarianceAdvancingtheScienceofRisk272CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETYVOLUME2/ISSUE2MunichChainLadderVOLUME2/I
6、SSUE2CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETY273VarianceAdvancingtheScienceofRisk274CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETYVOLUME2/ISSUE2MunichChainLadderVOLUME2/ISSUE2CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETY275VarianceAdvancingtheScienceofRisk276CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETYVOLUME2/ISSUE2MunichChainLadderVOLU
7、ME2/ISSUE2CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETY277VarianceAdvancingtheScienceofRisk278CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETYVOLUME2/ISSUE2MunichChainLadderVOLUME2/ISSUE2CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETY279VarianceAdvancingtheScienceofRisk280CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETYVOLUME2/ISSUE2MunichChainLadde
8、rVOLUME2/ISSUE2CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETY281VarianceAdvancingtheScienceofRisk282CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETYVOLUME2/ISSUE2MunichChainLadderVOLUME2/ISSUE2CASUALTYACTUARIALSOCIETY283VarianceAdvan