handbook on impact evaluation randomization

handbook on impact evaluation randomization

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時(shí)間:2018-02-11

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1、3.RandomizationSummaryAllocatingaprogramorinterventionrandomlyacrossasampleofobservationsisonesolutiontoavoidingselectionbias,providedthatprogramimpactsareexaminedatthelevelofrandomization.Carefulselectionofcontrolareas(orthecounterfactual)isalsoimportantinensuringcomparabilitywithparticipantareas

2、andultimatelycal-culatingthetreatmenteffect(ordifferenceinoutcomes)betweenthetwogroups.Thetreatmenteffectcanbedistinguishedastheaveragetreatmenteffect(ATE)betweenparticipantsandcontrolunits,orthetreatmenteffectonthetreated(TOT),anarrowermeasurethatcomparesparticipantandcontrolunits,conditionalonpa

3、rticipantsbeinginatreatedarea.Randomizationcouldbeconductedpurelyrandomly(wheretreatedandcontrolunitshavethesameexpectedoutcomeinabsenceoftheprogram);thismethodrequiresensuringexternalandinternalvalidityofthetargetingdesign.Inactuality,however,researchershaveworkedinpartialrandomizationsettings,wh

4、eretreatmentandcon-trolsamplesarechosenrandomly,conditionalonsomeobservablecharacteristics(forexample,landholdingorincome).Iftheseprogramsareexogenouslyplaced,condi-tionalontheseobservedcharacteristics,anunbiasedprogramestimatecanbemade.Despitetheclarityofarandomizedapproach,anumberoffactorsstilln

5、eedtobeaddressedinpractice.Theyincluderesolvingethicalissuesinexcludingareasthatsharesimilarcharacteristicswiththetargetedsample,accountingforspilloverstonontar-getedareasaswellasforselectiveattrition,andensuringheterogeneityinparticipationandultimateoutcomes,eveniftheprogramisrandomized.LearningO

6、bjectivesAftercompletingthischapter,thereaderwillbeabletodiscuss■Howtoconstructanappropriatecounterfactual■Howtodesignarandomizedexperiment,includingexternalandinternalvalidity■HowtodistinguishtheATEfromtheTOT■Howtoaddresspracticalissuesinevaluatingrandomizedinterventions,includ-ingaccountingforsp

7、illovers,selectiveattrition,ethicalissues,andselectivehet-erogeneityinprogramimpactsamongthetreatedsample33HandbookonImpactEvaluationSettingtheCounterfactualAsarguedinchapter2,Tndingapropercounterfactualtotreatme

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