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1、Chapter9:TheCapitalAssetPricingModelChapterOpenerp.280PART??IIITHECAPITALASSET?pricingmodel,almostalwaysreferredtoastheCAPM,isacenterpieceofmodernfinancialeconomics.Themodelgivesusaprecisepredictionoftherelationshipthatweshouldobservebetweentheriskofanassetanditsexpectedreturn.Thisrelations
2、hipservestwovitalfunctions.First,itprovidesabenchmarkrateofreturnforevaluatingpossibleinvestments.Forexample,ifweareanalyzingsecurities,wemightbeinterestedinwhethertheexpectedreturnweforecastforastockismoreorlessthanits“fair”returngivenitsrisk.Second,themodelhelpsustomakeaneducatedguessasto
3、theexpectedreturnonassetsthathavenotyetbeentradedinthemarketplace.Forexample,howdowepriceaninitialpublicofferingofstock?Howwillamajornewinvestmentprojectaffectthereturninvestorsrequireonacompany'sstock?AlthoughtheCAPMdoesnotfullywithstandempiricaltests,itiswidelyusedbecauseoftheinsightitoff
4、ersandbecauseitsaccuracyisdeemedacceptableforimportantapplications.9.1TheCapitalAssetPricingModelThecapitalassetpricingmodelisasetofpredictionsconcerningequilibriumexpectedreturnsonriskyassets.HarryMarkowitzlaiddownthefoundationofmodernportfoliomanagementin1952.TheCAPMwasdeveloped12yearslat
5、erinarticlesbyWilliamSharpe,1?JohnLintner,2?andJanMossin.3?ThetimeforthisgestationindicatesthattheleapfromMarkowitz'sportfolioselectionmodeltotheCAPMisnottrivial.???WewillapproachtheCAPMbyposingthequestion“whatif,”wherethe“if”partreferstoasimplifiedworld.Positinganadmittedlyunrealisticworld
6、allowsarelativelyeasyleaptothe“then”part.Onceweaccomplishthis,wecanaddcomplexitytothehypothesizedenvironmentonestepatatimeandseehowtheconclusionsmustbeamended.Thisprocessallowsustoderiveareasonablyrealisticandcomprehensiblemodel.p.281???Wesummarizethesimplifyingassumptionsthatleadtothebasic
7、versionoftheCAPMinthefollowinglist.Thethrustoftheseassumptionsisthatwetrytoensurethatindividualsareasalikeaspossible,withthenotableexceptionsofinitialwealthandriskaversion.Wewillseethatconformityofinvestorbehaviorvastlysimplifiesouranalysis.??1.?Thereare