probability and its applications - ollav kallenberg

probability and its applications - ollav kallenberg

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時(shí)間:2018-08-01

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1、PrefaceSomethirtyyearsagoitwasstillpossible,asLo`evesoablydemonstrated,towriteasinglebookinprobabilitytheorycontainingpracticallyeverythingworthknowinginthesubject.Thesubsequentdevelopmenthasbeenex-plosive,andtodayacorrespondingcomprehensivecoveragewouldrequireawholelibrary.Researche

2、rsandgraduatestudentsalikeseemcompelledtoaratherextremedegreeofspecialization.Asaresult,thesubjectisthreatenedbydisintegrationintodozensorhundredsofsub?elds.Atthesametimetheinteractionbetweentheareasislivelierthanever,andthereisasteadilygrowingcoreofkeyresultsandtechniquesthateverypr

3、obabilistneedstoknow,ifonlytoreadtheliteratureinhisorherown?eld.Thus,itseemsessentialthatweallhaveatleastageneraloverviewofthewholearea,andweshoulddowhatwecantokeepthesubjecttogether.Thepresentvolumeisanearnestattemptinthatdirection.Myoriginalaimwastowriteabookabout“everything.”Vario

4、usspaceandtimeconstraintsforcedmetoacceptmoremodestandrealisticgoalsfortheproject.Thus,“foundations”hadtobeunderstoodinthenarrowersenseoftheearly1970s,andtherewasnoroomforsomeofthemorerecentdevelopments.Iespeciallyregrettheomissionoftopicssuchaslargede-viations,GibbsandPalmmeasures,i

5、nteractingparticlesystems,stochasticdi?erentialgeometry,Malliavincalculus,SPDEs,measure-valueddi?usions,andbranchingandsuperprocesses.Clearlyplentyoffundamentalandin-triguingmaterialremainsforapossiblesecondvolume.Evenwithmymorelimited,revisedambitions,Ihadtobeextremelyselectiveinthe

6、choiceofmaterial.Moreimportantly,itwasnecessarytolookforthemosteconomicalapproachtoeveryresultIdiddecidetoinclude.Inthelatterrespect,Iwassurprisedtoseehowmuchcouldactuallybedonetosimplifyandstreamlineproofs,oftenhandeddownthroughgenerationsoftextbookwriters.Mygeneralpreferencehasbeen

7、forresultsconveyingsomenewideaorrelationship,whereasmanypropositionsofamoretechnicalnaturehavebeenomitted.Inthesamevein,Ihaveavoidedtechnicalorcomputationalproofsthatgivelittleinsightintotheprovenresults.Thisconformswithmyconvictionthatthelogicalstructureiswhatmattersmostinmathematic

8、s,evenwhenap

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