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1、廣東藥學(xué)院本科畢業(yè)論文（設(shè)計(jì)）廣東省八個(gè)城市的人口動態(tài)分析學(xué)院廣東藥學(xué)院專業(yè)預(yù)防醫(yī)學(xué)年級2001級學(xué)生姓名蔡永明學(xué)號2001021725帶教單位社會醫(yī)學(xué)與衛(wèi)生管理教研室指導(dǎo)教師張瑛副教授張東枚老師2006年6月5日officiallyestablishedonJuly1,2013,Yibincity,formerlyknownasthebus,integratedoriginalrongzhoubuscompanyinYibincityandMetrobuscompany,formedonlyinYibincityofaState-ownedpublictransportente
2、rprises,thecompanyconsistsofoneortwo,thirdDivision.Integrationofpublictransportservicesisnotyetestablished摘要目的:通過對我省人口數(shù)量及其自然增長率作出科學(xué)的分析,掌握其發(fā)展動態(tài)，有利于宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)、教育政策的制定，也為我省作出客觀的人口控制政策提供了有力依據(jù)。方法:收集廣州、佛山、中山、揭東、四會、順德、番禺、英德等廣東八個(gè)城市的人口資料,整理后運(yùn)用動態(tài)數(shù)列和聚類分析方法進(jìn)行統(tǒng)計(jì)分析。結(jié)果：1998～2002年廣東八個(gè)城市人口平均增長速度在1.20~6.97%之間；大多數(shù)城市自
3、然增長率保持平穩(wěn)略有下降，但部分城市仍居高不下（如順德、揭東）；以人口自然增長率平均增長速度、出生率平均增長速度、死亡率平均發(fā)展速度為變量對八個(gè)城市聚類可將其分為四類。結(jié)論：目前我省人口發(fā)展處于穩(wěn)步增長狀態(tài),自然增長率逐步下降,一定時(shí)期內(nèi)人口數(shù)量仍然保持在較高水平，人口控制工作仍然不能放松。關(guān)鍵詞：人口數(shù)量自然增長率人口分析AbstractThroughmakesthesciencetoourprovincepopulationquantityandthenaturalrateofgrowththeanalysis,Graspsitsdevelopmenttendency,isa
4、dvantageousinthemacroscopiceconomical,theeducationpolicyformulation,alsomadetheobjectivepopulationcontrolpolicyforourprovincetoprovidethepowerfulbasis.Methods:CollectsGuangzhou,Foshan,Zhongshan,Jiedong,sihui,Shunde,Panyu,Yingdepopulationmaterials,Afterthereorganizationutilizesthedynamicseries
5、andtheclusteranalysismethodcarriesonthestatisticalanalysis.Results:1998～2002yearGuangdongeighturbanpopulationaveragerateofgrowthin11.97～69.72‰between;Themajoritycitynaturalrateofgrowthmaintainssteadilyhadthedropslightlyeast,butthepartialcitiesstillstayedatahighlevellikeShunde,Jiedong;Takether
6、ateofnaturalpopulationgrowthaveragerateofgrowth,thebirthrateaveragerateofgrowth,themortalityrateaveragerateofgrowthmaydivideintoasthevariabletoeightcityclustersitfourkinds.onclusion:Atpresentourprovincepopulationdevelopmentisatgrowswithsteadystepsthecondition,Thenaturalrateofgrowthdropsgradua
7、lly,Incertaintimepopulationquantitystillmaintainedisteachingthehighlevel,thepopulationcontrolworkstillcannotrelax.Keywords：PopulationquantityNaturalrateofgrowthPopulationanalysisofficiallyestablishedonJuly1,2013,Yibincity,formerlyknownasthebu
