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1、PredictabilityandStabilityofODAFlows TheCaseofVietnamDr.PhamHoangMaiHeadofJapanandNortheastAsiaDivisionForeignEconomicRelationsDepartmentMinistryofPlanningandInvestment-VietnamBackgroundClassicalandNeo-classicalTheories:ODAisprovidedtocover3gaps:Savings–Investm
2、entGapForeignExchangeGapTechnologicalGapDependencyTheory:ODAisdetrimentaltodevelopment:SubstitutingforDomesticSavingsAidFungibilityUnsustainableDevelopmentBackgroundTheRoleoftheGovernmentCoordinationAllocatingODAforPriorityProjectstocreatefavourableconditionsfo
3、rsocio-economicdevelopmentDirectlytacklethepovertyproblemsGuaranteetheresultsofeconomicgrowthwillbeequallydistributedPredictableandStableODAflowswillhelpthegovernmenttominimisethedetrimentalimpactsandmaximisepositiveimpactsofODAflowsDescriptionofPredictabilitya
4、ndStabilityVolumeConditionalityFinancialtermsandconditionsPolicyreformconditionsProcurementconditionsStrategyPriorityareas→Playimportantroleforlong-termdevelopmentplanofdevelopingcountryGlimpseofODAinVietnamODAContributionoverthePeriodof2001–2005ODAhascontribut
5、edto11%ofVietnam’sinvestmentand17%ofgovernmentinvestmentJapaneseODAaccountedfor28.8%oftotalcommittedODAand36.2%ofdisbursedODAJapaneseODAhascontributedto4%ofVietnam’sinvestmentand6.2%ofgovernmentinvestmentSectoralcontribution:Transportation,Powergeneration,Educa
6、tion,UrbanInfrastructureandhencehelpedtoattractFDISectorAllocationofODA2001-2005(%)Commit-mentDisbur-sementAgriculturalandRuralDevelopment1621PowerandIndustry1617TransportationandTelecommunication2525UrbanInfrastructureDevelopment97HealthCare,Education117Enviro
7、nment,TechnologyDevelopment35Other2018SuccessfulStrategyofVietnamseekingsupportoftheDonorsinpreparingFiveyearSocio-economicdevelopmentplanComprehensivePovertyReductionandGrowthStrategySectoralandregionaldevelopmentplansODAFrameworkfortheperiod2006-2010Holdingre
8、gularpolicydialoguesPhasing-outforlargescaleprojectsApplyingandimprovingtheownershipSuccessfulStrategyofDonorsCooperationwithVietnamindeveloping5-yearsocio-economicdevelopme
