資源描述：
《山東省能源消耗、碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系實(shí)證研究》由會(huì)員上傳分享，免費(fèi)在線閱讀，更多相關(guān)內(nèi)容在學(xué)術(shù)論文-天天文庫。
1、摘要山東省是中國(guó)的東部地區(qū)中的經(jīng)濟(jì)大省，也是能源消費(fèi)大省，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)速度和GDP一直位列全國(guó)前列。隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的高速增長(zhǎng)，高能耗的工業(yè)的發(fā)展和城市化過程中生活行為，對(duì)能源的需求大幅度增加。需要重新研究和認(rèn)識(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、能源消耗以及碳排放之間的關(guān)系，在保證經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的同時(shí)，減少能源消耗，減少溫室氣體排放，為更好的利用資源，發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)，保護(hù)環(huán)境奠定基礎(chǔ)。論文首先對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、能源消耗以及碳排放研究進(jìn)行了綜述；利用歷年統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)，分析山東省產(chǎn)值增長(zhǎng)、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，能源消耗量、能源消耗結(jié)構(gòu)以及碳排放現(xiàn)狀，發(fā)現(xiàn)山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)狀況和能源消耗結(jié)構(gòu)不合理，節(jié)能減排壓力很大；對(duì)山東省能源消耗與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間關(guān)系進(jìn)行研究，利
2、用EVIEWS6．0對(duì)其進(jìn)行協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)，得出能源消耗與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)存在單線格蘭杰因果關(guān)系；利用脫鉤分析法對(duì)碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間關(guān)系進(jìn)行研究，·發(fā)現(xiàn)碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)并沒有出現(xiàn)強(qiáng)脫鉤狀態(tài)；并利用庫茨涅茨曲線對(duì)能源和碳排放趨勢(shì)進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè)，得到能耗和碳排放在未來會(huì)出現(xiàn)拐點(diǎn)。論文為山東省相關(guān)部門把握能源消耗、碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的辯證關(guān)系提供依據(jù)，有利于山東政府和相關(guān)部門制定更加合理的能源發(fā)展和管理政策，制定和綜合運(yùn)用財(cái)政政策、產(chǎn)業(yè)政策等促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、新能源的開發(fā)和快速發(fā)展，為山東省在實(shí)現(xiàn)“十二五”計(jì)劃目標(biāo)提供理論支持，并對(duì)其他省份經(jīng)濟(jì)的健康運(yùn)行具有借鑒參考價(jià)值。關(guān)鍵詞：碳排放、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、能源消耗、協(xié)整分析Abs
3、tractShandongiswell—developedProvinceandconsBmeslargesumofenergy．Astomaintainrapideconomicgrowth，thereisasignificantinhereindemandforenergywiththedevelopmentofhigh-energyindustriesandunstoppedurbanizationprocess．Sonowitisthetimetore．recognizetherelationbetweeneconomicgrowth，energyconsumptionandcarb
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5、rgyconsumptionandindustryhaveirrationalstructure，andenergyconservationwithemissionreductionfacesmuchpressure；Nextweusecointegrationmethodtoinspecttherelationbetweenenergyconsumptionandeconomicgrowth，andthereisaone．wayGrangercausalitybetweenthem．Toresearchtherelationbetweencarbonemissionsandeconomic
6、growth,WCusedecouplingmethodandfindtheyhavenostrongdecouplingstatus．AtlastwepredictenergyconsumptionandcarbonemissionstrendsbyKuznetstheory,andconcludethattheyhaveaturningpointinfuture．Usingthoseconclusions，therelevantdepartmentscallhaveamoreaccurategraspofrelationshipbetweenenergyconsumption，carbo
7、nemissionandeconomicgrowth．Andhelpgovernmenttodevelopmorerationalenergyandindustrypolicy．Throughchangingthestructureofenergyconsumptionindustry,anddevelopingnewenergySOBlCeS，ShandongProvinceCanachieveitsobj
