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1、西南交通大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文公路交通安全宏觀評(píng)價(jià)方法研究姓名：王琴申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：碩士專業(yè)：交通運(yùn)輸工程指導(dǎo)教師：葉懷珍20061101西南交通大學(xué)工程碩士論文第1I頁AbstractTheroadsafetyevaluationisoneoftheimportantmeanstopreventeffectivelyandreducethetrafficaccident．Itisintermsofhighwayuserstofindthepotentialfactorofthetrafficaccidentinappra
2、isingtheprojectofthehighway．Doingitaccidentcanbepreventedbeforeithappens，personnelandpropertylosscanbereducedtothegreatestextent．ThisarticleproducedthreemethodstocarryontheappraisaloftrafficsafetyTheyrespectivelyarethe薩aygatheringmethod，basedon罌ayrelationmulti
3、stagegrayappraisallawandself-organizingcompetitivenetwork．ThismethoddifferentfromtheclassicalmethodisnotonlyconsideringtheabsoluteindexesOrseveralrelativeindicescarried011theappraisal，butischoosingaseriesofappraisalindexestocomposeanappraisalsystembeforecarrie
4、dontheappraisal．Intheestablishmentofappraisalindexsystem，thehuman、thevehicle、theroad、theenvironmentandmanyotherfactorsmustbeconsidered．Thusmakecomprehensiveandtheaccurateappraisaltotheobject．’Thegathermethodanalysestheindexesin2002and2003，andcomparetheresultst
5、ofindthedistributionandchangingruleoftrafficsafetycondition．BasedongrayrelationmultistagegrayappraisallawdiscardsthePhilippineruleandintroducesthegrayrelationtoconfirmtheindexweJlghts，meanwhilesolvesthebugofjudgmentmatrixestablishedbyexperts，Moreovertheresultb
6、ythismethodhastheverygoodfeasibility．Theself-organizingcompetitivenetworkisamethodofno·teachingtraining．itdoesnotneedtoconsidertheOUtputexpectedandoperatessimply．ItCanberealizedinthematlabnervenetworktoolbox．Thetrainingresulthastheverystrongusability．．Eachmeth
7、odabovementionedhasachaptertocompleterespectively．Eachchafterhasintroducedtheprinciple，themethodandthemodelconstructed，thenanalysesnationalpartialareasdatain2002and2003，F(xiàn)inallyproducestheappraisalresultandcarriesonthediscussiontotheresult．Fromtheresultsgivenby
8、thethreemethod，weCallseethatinthemajorityofareathreemethodsresultshavenotchanged；asmallpartialareaappraisalresulthasthechangeofarank；theresultsoffewplaceshavehadthebigchange．Itshow
