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1、食品飲料行業(yè)2018年投資策略目錄板塊回顧:白酒烈火烹油,食品景氣漸夯...........................................................................1白酒行業(yè):烈火烹油,鮮花著錦..........................................................................................1調(diào)味品:提價促業(yè)績,醬醋及榨菜龍頭受益............................................
2、............................3乳制品:低階消費需求回暖,龍頭市占率穩(wěn)步提升.............................................................4主線一:白酒——高端享受風(fēng)口勤修內(nèi)功,中檔消費升級持續(xù)發(fā)力...................................6白酒分類:高端和次高端周期性&中檔酒穿越周期消費屬性................................................6復(fù)盤上一輪白酒牛市:繁華再上路,這次不一樣.....
3、...........................................................8高端&次高端——享受風(fēng)口,勤修內(nèi)功,從虛胖到Strong................................................12中檔——消費升級,持續(xù)發(fā)力...........................................................................................15主線二:必選崛起解析——低線城市消費之春...............
4、...................................................17數(shù)據(jù)回顧:低線城市消費品銷售全面回暖,龍頭銷售領(lǐng)跑全行業(yè).....................................17原因解析:經(jīng)濟(jì)周期+供給周期+龍頭效應(yīng).........................................................................18前瞻分析:三四線滲透率差距較大的儲備品種.............................................
5、.....................27主線三:新人群,新品牌,新渠道....................................................................................29所謂三新............................................................................................................................29成癮性/享受型消費抬升天花板:休閑鹵制品的量價極致
6、...................................................31拯救家里蹲:方便火鍋和復(fù)合調(diào)味品起勢.........................................................................32怕死星人福利:保健品&烘焙景氣夯..................................................................................36新零售+品牌IP化:渠道革新+情感化營銷體驗...........
7、.....................................................40風(fēng)險因素............................................................................................................................41投資策略:.........................................................................................
8、...............................42行情回顧..........