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1、西華大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文第1v頁AbstractFinancialcrisisearly-wardingisthecoreofthefinancialpre-waming.Listedcompaniesasatypi∞lmodementerprise,havearelativeeffectivemanagementsystemandmorecompletedfinancialaccountingi面ormatinnexp
2、ore.Thereforeasgoodexumpleoftbefinancialcrisisearlywarnin
3、gmodel,theyaterepresentativeandpractical.Becausecompaniesfacemoreandmoreworldwidecompetitions,someofthemwillfallintocrisisandwillgobankruptevenworse.Financialcrisiswillbadlyaffecteconomyfromvariousaspects.Therefore,effectivelyforecastingfinancialdifficultybeCOIELesthe
4、essentialstepforcommercialbanktomanagecreditriskandalsoforstockinVestorstoreducethebnsine站riskfortheftinvestment.Accordingtocompanies’financialreports,financialratiosormodelsapplied,throughstatisticalmethods,financialcrisisearly-warningsystemanalysescompanies‘a(chǎn)bilityo
5、frepayingdebtsandpayoff,soitpredictsprobabilityofcompanies’financialdefiniLToestablishafinancialcrisisearly-warningsystemisaneffectivewaytopreventandcontrolfinancialfailures.IthadbeenknowninforeignandChinesescholars.Thisdissertationwinmainlyfocusonfailedlistedcompanie
6、sasresearchobjectsandinvestigateatargenumberofrelatedliteratures.BasedOHplentyofliteraturereviewingandconsideringthecharactersofChiilesosecuritymarket,STand‘STaredefined勰failure.^Lftercollectingvariouscase8anddatafromfailedlistedcompanies,theresearchwasconductedOilpre
7、-wamingofthefailmeoflistedcompanies.Ontheanalysis,thisdissertationanatomizesoasesofSTstocks,andanalyzesrea80nsoffailurefromthefollowingthreeaspects:Industryfactor,stockframe,intendaneemechanism,businessdiversificationandinvestment.ThenconsideredbothIe蜘nsandcases.thech
8、aractersoffailureinlistedcompanieswassummarizedasdeteriorationofliquidityandleverage,profitability,activity,growingability,structureandcashflow.Suchresultsareveryhelpfulinchoosingvariables.Basedonthedataacquiredfromlistedcorporations,thisarticleanalyzesfinancialcharac
9、terofdifferenceindustry觚Theresultrevealedthatthefinancialcharacterbetweendifferenceindustriesisdistinct.Sothepre-warningmode