煤炭上市公司財務(wù)預(yù)警模型實證分析

煤炭上市公司財務(wù)預(yù)警模型實證分析

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時間:2019-01-31

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1、AbstractInglobaleconomization’stoday,inourcountry,everyindustryfacestheunprecedentedvitalityandthechallenge,andastheenergymainitem,thecoalmilleindustry,passingthroughthelongspecialdevelopment,facesdomesticmarketsteepcompetitionandforeignmarketimpactdualpressures,tosurvivewit

2、hdevelops,whilemaintainsthebranchindustrystandserectnotbutactuallyanddevelopsmultiplexindustrypositively,takesthefinancialcontrolmoreandmoreinthesurvival,thecompetitionandthedevelopmentfunction.Inrecentyears,underthecountryindustrialpolicy’Sstimulation,thecoalmineHstedcompan

3、iescarriedonthemassiveexpandinginvestment,inadditionthehistoricaldebt,cause,sthelong-termcreditcapacitynottobestrong,thecashfloweasytohavetheproblem,atthesametime,thecoalmillelistescompanies’externaleconomyandtheinternaloperationenvironmentdaybydayisalsocomplex,thecoalminein

4、dustrybecomesthehighrisktheindustry,thisovenmorehighlightsthefinancialcontrolworktheimportance,especiallyappearedhasneededthesituationtobelistedfinanceearlywarningwork.BecauseOurcountry’Scoalindustryhasitsspecialcharacteristicandthefinancialcharacteristic,butthetraditionalfi

5、nancialearlywarningstudiesmuchtakethemanufacturingindustrytobelistedasabackground,SO,itisunabletosatisfytheparticularrequest,thisarticlewillconductthepointedfinancialearlywarningresearch,thehopeistheresearchcanobtainproperearlywarningconclusion.Thisarticlebasesondomesticandf

6、oreignfinancialearlywarningtheorysummal'y,unifyingourcountry’Scoalminelistedcompaniespresentsituationaswellasthepresentsituationanalysis,embarkingfromthefinancialcrisisconce醇usingSPSSl7.0,carryingonthefactorialanalysistotheselection30samplecompanies’data,earlywarningindicato

7、rsintosolvencyindicators,profitabilityindicators,assetmanagementcapabilityindex,growthcapacityindicatorsandthelevelofcashflowtargets,meanwhilethesetargetclassificationisfivegranddukefactors,obtainsfmanceearlywarningfactorscoremodelofourcountry’Scoalmillelistedcompanies,thent

8、hroughtheclusteranalysis,dividesinto30samplecompaniessixkinds,carryingonthe

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