貨幣政策對房地產(chǎn)價格波動的影響.pdf

貨幣政策對房地產(chǎn)價格波動的影響.pdf

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時間:2020-03-05

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1、AbstractRealestateisapillarindustryinvolvedinthenationaleconomyandthepeople'slivelihood.Howtopacifypricefluctuationsandpromotethehealthydevelopmentofrealestateindustryisofimportanttheoreticalsignificanceandpracticalvalue.Astheexperienceofforeignmaturerea

2、lestatemarket,wecanconcludethatthehighermarketizationsuggestsmorestandardizedmarkets,anditismoreeffectivetoregulatethepricebymarket-orientedmeans.AsforChina,asthemicrocosmicbodiesintherealestatemarketgraduallymature,themacroenvironmentimprovescontinuousl

3、yandthemarketizationreacheshighergradually,usingmoremarket-basedmonetarypolicytoolstocontrolpropertypriceswillbethetrendoffuturedevelopment.Firstofall,byanalyzinghowmonetarypolicyaffectstherealeconomy,thisthesissumsupthemainmechanismofmonetarypolicyinflu

4、encingtherealestateprice,whichisalsothetheoreticalbasisofthispaper.Basedonthat,thepaperdiscusseshowmonetarypolicyaffectsrealestatepricesformajoreconomiesindifferentperiods.Takingthedevelopmenthistoryoftherealestateindustryasakeypointandbasedonhowmonetary

5、policyregulatesrealestatepriceandtheeffects,thefollowingthreemodelsareconcluded:Singapore–underthedualstructureofZuhousingandcommercialhousing,itiseffectivetocontrolpricefluctuationbyexchangerate;Japanhasanimbalancedpopulationstructure,soitisofnosignific

6、ancetoeasethepricewithmonetarypolicyafterthebubblebursts;America-themicrobodiestreattheindustrycyclerationallyonthematurerealestatemarket,soafterthebubblebursts,monetarypolicystillcaneffectivelypromotetherecoveryoftherealestateindustry.Bylearningfromthos

7、ecountries,thispaperfurtherstudiesthehowthespecialChinesemonetarypolicyrelatestherealestatemarket,andmakesanempiricalanalysisbasedonthreetheoreticalchannelssuchasinterestrateandmonetarysupplyaswellasexchangeratechannel.Choosingmonthlydataof13yearsfrom200

8、2to2014assamples,thepaperconcludesthatmonetarysupplyissignificantlyassociatedwiththerealestatepricesandtheymovetogether;whileinterestrateandrealestatepricetendtomovetogether,therewasnosignificantcorrelationbetweenthem;thec

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