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1、長(zhǎng)沙理工大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文農(nóng)村公路客運(yùn)線網(wǎng)規(guī)劃研究姓名:陽(yáng)亮申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別:碩士專業(yè):交通運(yùn)輸規(guī)劃與管理指導(dǎo)教師:楊明20070310摘要根據(jù)我國(guó)建設(shè)社會(huì)主義新農(nóng)村的要求,農(nóng)村客運(yùn)成為道路客運(yùn)行業(yè)的發(fā)展重心。目前我國(guó)農(nóng)村客運(yùn)還存在許多不容忽視的問(wèn)題,阻礙了農(nóng)村客運(yùn)市場(chǎng)的進(jìn)一步發(fā)展和完善。本文從道路客運(yùn)線路分布和運(yùn)力配備方面對(duì)農(nóng)村道路客運(yùn)進(jìn)行初步研究??瓦\(yùn)量預(yù)測(cè)是客運(yùn)線網(wǎng)規(guī)劃的基礎(chǔ)依據(jù)和重要內(nèi)容。本文采用類別分析和間接模擬的方法,先預(yù)測(cè)出規(guī)劃年區(qū)域人均出行次數(shù),再根據(jù)人均出行次數(shù)增長(zhǎng)的倍數(shù)及線路客運(yùn)量的
2、現(xiàn)狀值,預(yù)測(cè)規(guī)劃年線路的客運(yùn)量。該預(yù)測(cè)方法概念明確,計(jì)算簡(jiǎn)單,是一種比較有效的預(yù)測(cè)方法。線網(wǎng)布設(shè)是道路客運(yùn)線網(wǎng)規(guī)劃的核心內(nèi)容。在介紹了客運(yùn)線網(wǎng)布設(shè)的基本知識(shí)后,本文針對(duì)農(nóng)村客流分散,客源不均,客流相對(duì)較少的特點(diǎn),基于圖論的基本理論,提出采用最小樹方法對(duì)農(nóng)村客運(yùn)線網(wǎng)進(jìn)行規(guī)劃布局。最小樹算法簡(jiǎn)單可行,可以實(shí)現(xiàn)區(qū)域客運(yùn)線路整體最短,適合農(nóng)村客運(yùn)網(wǎng)絡(luò)布局。本文所研究的最后一部分就是客運(yùn)線路運(yùn)力的配置。本文對(duì)農(nóng)村客運(yùn)供需平衡進(jìn)行了較深入的研究。把每條線路的營(yíng)運(yùn)車輛數(shù)作為衡量線路輸送旅客能力的標(biāo)準(zhǔn),基于旅客出
3、行總耗時(shí)最少和客運(yùn)運(yùn)輸企業(yè)營(yíng)運(yùn)收入最大,將雙目標(biāo)優(yōu)化問(wèn)題單目標(biāo)化,建立數(shù)學(xué)模型來(lái)確定一個(gè)最佳運(yùn)力。關(guān)鍵詞:農(nóng)村;客運(yùn)量;圖論;最小樹;供需平衡ABSTRACTAccordingtotherequirementtobuildingnewrural,theruralpassengertransportbecomesanimportantpartofpassengertransport.Atpresent,thereafemanyseriousproblemstocounteractdevelopmen
4、tandperfectoftherufalpassengertransportmarket.TheruraIpassengertransporthasbeenpilotstudiedftomlinedistributionandpowerequipmentinthisthesis.TheforecastingofpassengerVolumeisthebasicgistandimportantconlent0fpassengertranspOrtnetworkplanning.ThemethOdO
5、fsOrtanalyzingandindirectsimulatinghasbeenadoptedinthisthesis,andthismethodiscomprisedoftwophases:firstly,forecastingtheaVe姐getimeofpercapitatripintheplanningyear;secondIy,accordingtotheincreasedmuItipleoftheaveragetimeofeVefyone’stripandthecurrentpas
6、sengertransportvolumeofeachline,forecastthepassengertransportVolumeoftheplanningyearforeachline.Thismethodhasclearconceptionanditissimpletocalculate.S0itisavalidmethodforfofecasting.LinerdisposingisthecOrecontentofroadpassengertransportnetplanning.Bas
7、icknowledge0fpassengertransportlinernetdisposingwasintroduced,inallusiontocharacteristicofseparate,odds,andfelatiVelyhideboundofruralpassenger,basedonthebasictheoryofgraphic,theminimaltreetheoryofgraphictoplancanoptimizetheruralpassengertransportnetwo
8、rkwasadopted.TheshortesttreetheoryOfgraphicissimple,itcanachievetheshortestlinerofthepassengertransport.Itissuitforrural.ThebalanceofsupplyanddemandOflinehasbeenresearchedintheIastpartofthisthesis.Thevehiclenumberofeachlineisregafdedasthecrite